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Norwich vs Aston Villa statistical preview

Gareth Cooper is here to break down some of the key stats before Saturday’s match

Brentford v Norwich City - Sky Bet Championship
James Maddison is one to watch for Norwich
Photo by Harry Murphy/Getty Images

Having only lost twice to Norwich in the last 7 meetings between the two teams spanning 4 years, and given their current form, Aston Villa will go into Saturdays game against the Canaries full of confidence.

After a convincing 3-0 win on Tuesday night at home to Reading, Steve Bruce’s men will be looking for another valuable 3 points in the hope of consolidating a play off spot. In the last six games Villa have only picked up 9 points from a possible 18 starting with a predictable win against struggling Sunderland, and of course the immense thrashing of champions elect Wolves. Then the wheels fell off momentarily with consecutive losses against QPR and then Bolton. A draw away at Hull City followed.

The sporadic form of late could be seen as a problem, however the win against Reading will hopefully kick start the team’s desire to stay in the top six and seeing as Villa are 11 points out from Bristol City in 7th place, this really shouldn’t be a problem.

Norwich on the other hand have struggled to find any sort of consistent form throughout the campaign, winning just once in the last six games and they find themselves in 14th position in the league. With recent losses against Hull City, in form Fulham and QPR, two draws against Forest and Barnsley and the only win coming against Reading at home.

Speaking of the Canaries home form, it has seen them lose just once in six games at Carrow Road. Wins against the likes of Reading, Wolves, Birmingham City and Burton Albion have only been marred by a draw versus Preston and a surprising loss to Ian Holloway’s QPR side.

Assist Kings

James Maddison and Robert Snodgrass are Norwich City and Aston Villa’s providers-in-chief with the former helping himself to 7 assists in addition to being his club’s leading scorer with 13 goals, an impressive season overall. Villa’s on loan Scotsman has been superb with 14 assists and counting and also chipping in with 7 goals to add to Albert Adomah’s 14.

The Villa midfielders have been a revelation in terms of goalscoring and with more injuries to Villa strikers than Steve Bruce could have ever envisioned, have they needed the goals. Goals from Hourihane (10) and the aforementioned Snodgrass and Adomah have kept Villa in the hunt, without a shadow of doubt.

When will they score?

When is the first goal coming?

Average time of first goal scored (minute) Norwich City Aston Villa
Average time of first goal scored (minute) Norwich City Aston Villa
0-15 14.30% 14.10%
15-30 11.90% 14.10%
30-45 16.70% 15.60%
45-60 11.90% 12.50%
60-75 16.70% 25.00%
75-90 28.60% 18.80%
Who scores when? Gareth Cooper

Going by the table above - we could see some late goals in this game with a good portion of Norwich City’s goals coming in the last half an hour of the game, with the same applying to Villa. Even then, it’s just as likely that the first, and only, goal comes late on.

The Numbers

The Numbers

Norwich Statistic Villa
Norwich Statistic Villa
6 Home/Away Wins 9
8 Home/Away Draws 4
6 Home/Away Losses 7
James Maddison (13) Top Scorer Albert Adomah (14)
20 Home/Away NPG Goals Scored 25
21 Home/Away NPG Goals against 19
28.36 Home/Away xG total 25.73
1.39 Home/Away xG per 90 1.26
40% Win Chance % (Based on xG per90) 33.96%
Gareth Cooper

The most likely score is a 1-1 score draw, and there’s a 12.37% chance of that occurring.